Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #00

POR @ PHX · Live

Over Under19.5

Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs MIL, 2026-03-25: 30, missed, 24 min
vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 14, hit, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 31, missed, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 20, missed, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 18, hit, 20 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 24, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 25, missed, 38 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 13, hit, 31 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 21, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 24, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 32, missed, 38 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 24, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 2, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 7, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 18, hit, 19 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 7, hit, 21 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 7, hit, 17 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 13, hit, 19 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 18, hit, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 12, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 19.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 5.7–25.6 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his last 8 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out yesterday. Without him: Under 19.5 in 19 of 33.

YesterdayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 19.5 without him: 19 of 33; with him: 3 of 8 (41 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs guards
PHX allow 103.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
5 games
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 19.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 4 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)

Splits

Under 19.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 19.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Pts+Reb+Ast: 18 in 19 min, Oct 21 (home)

Under 19.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 19.5

Average: 18.2; −1.3 vs line
Median: 18; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 62%; 8 of 13
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2151 book	+1601 book	5/13
−1651 book	+1251 book	5/13
−1301 book	+1001 book	8/13
−1053 books	−1252 books	8/13
+1201 book	−1601 book	9/13
+2693 books	—	10/13
+7502 books	—	11/13

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 19.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 19.5	Under 19.5
DraftKings11 hr ago	−109	−120Best
Bovada11 hr ago	−105Best	−125
Bally Bet11 hr ago	−105Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

Under: −119 → −125 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Scoot Henderson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.