Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #00

POR @ PHX · Live

Over Under16.5

Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

46%6 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 16.5 Pts+Reb hit in 6 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs MIL, 2026-03-25: 26, missed, 24 min
vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 11, hit, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 24, missed, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 18, missed, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 15, hit, 20 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 21, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 23, missed, 38 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 10, hit, 31 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 17, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 21, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 32, missed, 38 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 23, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 0, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 7, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 17, missed, 19 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 5, hit, 21 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 4, hit, 17 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 13, hit, 19 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 17, missed, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 10, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 4.4–23 pts+reb.

What's different yesterday

Under 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 16.5 without him: 20 of 33; with him: 4 of 8 (41 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 16.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 3 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DEN
3rd straight road game

Splits

Under 16.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 16.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Pts+Reb: 17 in 19 min, Oct 21 (home)

Under 16.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 16.5

Average: 15.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 17; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 46%; 6 of 13
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−10001 book	—	2/13
−1802 books	+1351 book	5/13
−1351 book	+1051 book	6/13
−1053 books	−1252 books	6/13
+1852 books	—	9/13
+5601 book	—	12/13
+14001 book	—	13/13

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
DraftKings8 hr ago	−106	−124Best
Bovada8 hr ago	−105	−125
Bally Bet8 hr ago	−103Best	—

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

15.5 → 16.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Scoot Henderson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.