Scoot Henderson
POR @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMWhat's different today
Under 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Under 5.5 in 20 of 33.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 5.5 without him: 20 of 33; with him: 5 of 8 (41 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 5.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 4 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DEN
3rd straight road game
Game log against Under 5.5
77%10 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 5.5 Reb+Ast hit in 10 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.4–7.9 reb+ast.
Splits
Under 5.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 5.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHX
Reb+Ast: 3 in 19 min, Oct 21 (home)
Under 5.5 hit in 3 of 9 games against PHX on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 5.5
- Average
- 5
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 5
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 77%
- 10 of 13
- Price implies
- 48%
- at +110
- Books’ fair
- 44%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At +115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2902 books | +2101 book | 6/13 | |
| −1502 books | +1102 books | 10/13 | |
| +1152 books | −1512 books | 11/13 | |
| +1951 book | — | 12/13 | |
| +5001 book | — | 12/13 | |
| +13001 book | — | 13/13 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −150 | +115Best |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −146Best | +110 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5Under +104 → +110 since first seen


