Kyrie Irving
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 8.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.4–13.4 reb+ast.
What's different today
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 8.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Game lines
DAL −7.5 · total 226.5 (7 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 231.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 8.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; reb+ast the last time Irving faced them: 16 (Nov 30, 2024)
Over 8.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 8.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 9.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −104
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −2152 books | +1551 book | 6/10 | |
| −1176 books | −1144 books | 5/10 | |
| +1335 books | −1651 book | 5/10 | |
| +3201 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −117 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −117 | −115 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −117 | — |
| Bovada4 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5Over: −120 → −117 since first seen


