Kyrie Irving
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 21.5
40%4 of 10L10
Under 21.5 Points hit in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 8.6–29.6 points.
What's different today
Under 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 21.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 56.5 points a game to guards: 14th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Splits
Under 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 21.5 hit in 2 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 21.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; points the last time Irving faced them: 30 (Nov 30, 2024)
Under 21.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Under 21.5
- Average
- 23.4
- +1.9 vs line
- Median
- 24.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −113
Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −113, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2101 book | +1551 book | 4/10 | |
| −1656 books | +1251 book | 4/10 | |
| −1301 book | +1001 book | 4/10 | |
| −1127 books | −1226 books | 4/10 | |
| +1201 book | −1601 book | 4/10 | |
| +1324 books | −1901 book | 4/10 | |
| +1643 books | −2401 book | 5/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 21.5 | Under 21.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −122 | −109Best |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −116 | −110 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −118 | −112 |
| betPARX2 min ago | −112 | −122 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −112 | −122 |
| Bovada7 min ago | −105Best | −125 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −112 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:03 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
21.5Under: −136 → −122 since first seen