Kyrie Irving
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.2–7.9 rebounds.
What's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 14.6 rebounds a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; rebounds the last time Irving faced them: 7 (Nov 30, 2024)
Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −158
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −160
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −160, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4202 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1587 books | +1186 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1292 books | −1701 book | 5/10 | |
| +2555 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +4002 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +9202 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −148Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −148Best | +108 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −148Best | +108 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −158 | +118 |
| Bovada8 min ago | −160 | +120 |
| Pinnacle8 min ago | −160 | +120 |
| DraftKings8 min ago | −162 | +122Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:03 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: No move since first seen


