Kyrie Irving
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 29.5
40%4 of 10L10
Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 12.9–40.9 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 29.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 29.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 85.1 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 18th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Splits
Under 29.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 29.5 hit in 2 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 29.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Irving faced them: 46 (Nov 30, 2024)
Under 29.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Under 29.5
- Average
- 32.2
- +2.7 vs line
- Median
- 34.5
- +5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −108
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −105
Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12401 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −2954 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1275 books | −1083 books | 4/10 | |
| −1082 books | −1282 books | 5/10 | |
| +1754 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +4271 book | — | 7/10 | |
| +9501 book | — | 8/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 29.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 29.5 | Under 29.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX16 min ago | −125 | −107Best |
| BetRivers16 min ago | −127 | −108 |
| Pinnacle16 min ago | −122Best | −108 |
| Bally Bet16 min ago | −127 | — |
| DraftKings16 min ago | −129 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
29.5Under: −112 → −108 since first seen