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Kyrie Irving

Dallas Mavericks · G · #11

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder8.5
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1176 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 8.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

  1. at LAL, 2025-02-25: 11, cleared, 40 min
  2. vs CHA, 2025-02-27: 14, cleared, 38 min
  3. vs MIL, 2025-03-01: 8, missed, 38 min
  4. vs SAC, 2025-03-03: 2, missed, 9 min
  5. at HOU, 2026-10-21: 6, missed, 24 min
  6. at IND, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 25 min
  7. at MIA, 2026-10-26: 12, cleared, 33 min
  8. vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 6, missed, 27 min
  9. vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 13, cleared, 35 min
  10. at SA, 2026-11-04: 12, cleared, 36 min
ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.4–13.4 reb+ast.

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)

    Over 8.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 4 at SA

  • Game lines

    DAL −7.5 · total 226.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    DAL's games this season closed at 231.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10
  • Cooper FlaggF

  • Naji MarshallF

  • P.J. WashingtonF

  • Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; reb+ast the last time Irving faced them: 16 (Nov 30, 2024)

Over 8.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average
8.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
9.5
+1 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −117
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Our chance
51%
estimate · fair −104

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−20001 book—8/10
−2152 books+1551 book6/10
−1176 books−1144 books5/10
+1335 books−1651 book5/10
+3201 book—4/10
+11001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 8.5Under 8.5
FanDuel4 min ago−114Best−114
Bally Bet4 min ago−117—
betPARX3 min ago−117−115
BetRivers3 min ago−117—
Bovada4 min ago−125−105Best
DraftKings5 min ago−125−105Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over: −120 → −117 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Kyrie Irving's full game log and splits