Kyrie IrvingDay-To-Day

Dallas Mavericks · G · #11

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under27.5

Under 27.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1175 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 27.5 Pts+Ast hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2025-02-25: 39, missed, 40 min
vs CHA, 2025-02-27: 30, missed, 38 min
vs MIL, 2025-03-01: 34, missed, 38 min
vs SAC, 2025-03-03: 8, hit, 9 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 17, hit, 24 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 27, hit, 25 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 24, hit, 33 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 19, hit, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 44, missed, 35 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 34, missed, 36 min

Under hitMissedThe 27.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 9.6–35.5 pts+ast.

What's different today

Under 27.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 27.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Game lines
DAL −6.5 · total 225.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 231.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 27.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 27.5 hit in 2 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 27.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; pts+ast the last time Irving faced them: 39 (Nov 30, 2024)

Under 27.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 27.5

Average: 27.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 28.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5605 books	—	3/10
−1955 books	—	4/10
−1352 books	−1082 books	4/10
−1135 books	−1173 books	5/10
+1051 book	−1351 book	5/10
+1255 books	—	5/10
+2805 books	—	8/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 27.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 27.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 27.5	Under 27.5
Bovada7 min ago	−115	−115Best
DraftKings8 min ago	−112Best	−117
betPARX1 min ago	−113	−120
Bally Bet7 min ago	−113	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−113	—

Prices as of 6:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

27.5

25.5 → 27.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kyrie Irving's full game log and splits