Kyrie Irving
DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PM
What's different today
Under 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Under 20.5 without him: no games; with him: 3 of 5 (5 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 20.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: no games (5 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
SA allow 56.0 points a game to guards: 15th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.8 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Game log against Under 20.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 20.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 6.4–28 points.
Splits
Under 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SA in his last 10; Under 20.5 hit in 1 of 4 against SA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 20.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SA
Irving didn't play the Oct 24 meeting; points the last time Irving faced them: 22 (Nov 16, 2024)
Under 20.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against SA on record
L10 · Under 20.5
- Average
- 22.2
- +1.7 vs line
- Median
- 21
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −118
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −117 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3353 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −2104 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1395 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1146 books | −1185 books | 5/10 | |
| +1063 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1553 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1972 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX4 min ago | −114 | −117Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −115 | −118 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −108 | −118 |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −106 | −125 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −104Best | −128 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −114 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
20.5−125 → −118 since first seen