Kyrie Irving
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs guards
UTAH allow 5.9 threes made a game to guards: 28th most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 2.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Irving didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Irving faced them: 6 (Nov 30, 2024)
Over 2.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −160
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −45002 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −4555 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1606 books | +1205 books | 5/10 | |
| +1505 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3005 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +6102 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +11602 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −155Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −155Best | +114 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −155Best | +114 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −160 | +120 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −165 | +125 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −176 | +132Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: −158 → −160 since first seen