Kevin Durant
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PMGame log against Over 8.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.1–14.5 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 9.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 9.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −136
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20004 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1951 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1365 books | +1023 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1204 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +3401 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings22 hr ago | −114Best | −116 |
| Bally Bet22 hr ago | −136 | — |
| betPARX22 hr ago | −136 | +102 |
| BetRivers22 hr ago | −136 | — |
| FanDuel22 hr ago | −136 | +106Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.


