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Kevin Durant
BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Typical price −1825 sportsbooksbest −162
Game log
Over 1.5Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
Home and away
L10 · Over 1.5Hometonight
40%
2 of 5
Away
60%
3 of 5
L10 · Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made
- Average
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- −182, 5 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −153
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −153, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 hr ago | −162Best | +123 |
| Bally Bet3 hr ago | −182 | — |
| betPARX3 hr ago | −182 | +135Best |
| BetRivers3 hr ago | −186 | +135Best |
| FanDuel3 hr ago | −192 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8952 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1825 books | +1353 books | 5/10 | |
| +1586 books | −2172 books | 2/10 | |
| +3755 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +8005 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +20952 books | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%