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Kevin Durant
BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 0.5 Blocks
Typical price −1754 sportsbooks
Game log
Over 0.5Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 blocks.
Home and away
L10 · Over 0.5Hometonight
80%
4 of 5
Away
60%
3 of 5
L10 · Over 0.5 Blocks
- Average
- 1.5
- +1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- −175, 4 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −173
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −173, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | −175Best | — |
| betPARX1 hr ago | −175Best | +125Best |
| BetRivers1 hr ago | −175Best | — |
| DraftKings1 hr ago | −198 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1754 books | +1251 book | 7/10 | |
| +2754 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7401 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +19201 book | — | 1/10 |
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%