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Kevin Durant
BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 3.5 Assists
Typical price −1016 sportsbooksbest +102
Game log
Over 3.5Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–7 assists.
Home and away
L10 · Over 3.5Hometonight
60%
3 of 5
Away
60%
3 of 5
L10 · Over 3.5 Assists
- Average
- 3.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- −101, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At +102 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 hr ago | +102Best | −130 |
| betPARX1 hr ago | +100 | −132 |
| Pinnacle1 hr ago | −101 | −132 |
| DraftKings1 hr ago | −102 | −129Best |
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | −103 | — |
| BetRivers1 hr ago | −103 | −134 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8354 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2455 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1016 books | −1325 books | 6/10 | |
| +2155 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +4305 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +7505 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +16292 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +28001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%