Jeremiah Fears
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 4.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
What's different today
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs guards
MIN allow 19.1 rebounds a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
9 games
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 11 of 22; with him: 15 of 68 (90 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2026–27: 28 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 4.5 · L10Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Rebounds: 10 in 41 min, Apr 12 (away)
Over 4.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 4.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 45%
- at +123
- Books’ fair
- 43%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 30.9
- 10 games · 25.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 43%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12504 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −3754 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1625 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +1235 books | −1674 books | 5/10 | |
| +2255 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3904 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +6505 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet10 min ago | +123Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | +123Best | −167 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +123Best | −167 |
| DraftKings10 min ago | +110 | −145 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +104 | −138Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5+110 → +123 since first seen


