Jeremiah Fears
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 18.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
What's different today
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 18.5 without him: 12 of 22; with him: 29 of 68 (90 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2026–27: 28 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +4.5 · total 229.5 (5 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 18.5 · L10Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Pts+Ast: 41 in 41 min, Apr 12 (away)
Over 18.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 22.8
- +4.3 vs line
- Median
- 20
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −106
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 30.9
- 10 games · 25.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14401 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1251 book | −1051 book | 6/10 | |
| −1061 book | −1251 book | 6/10 | |
| +1251 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +22001 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −106Best | −125Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.5−104 → −106 since first seen


