Jeremiah Fears

New Orleans Pelicans · G · #0

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1866 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at BOS, 2026-04-10: 3, missed, 44 min
at MIN, 2026-04-12: 0, hit, 41 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 21 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 24 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 24 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 29 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 31 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 38 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 1, hit, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 17 of 22; with him: 45 of 68 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 7.1 threes made a game to guards: 19th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2026–27: 28 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

3-Pointers Made: 0 in 41 min, Apr 12 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MIN on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −186
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −160

Research, not a pick. At −163 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −160, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3406 books	—	3/10
+1356 books	−1865 books	8/10
+3906 books	—	8/10
+10403 books	—	10/10
+21002 books	—	10/10
+35001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings4 min ago	+123	−163Best
Bovada4 min ago	+125	−165
betPARX4 min ago	+135	−186
BetRivers4 min ago	+135	−186
FanDuel4 min ago	+140Best	−188
Bally Bet4 min ago	+135	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under: −163 → −186 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Jeremiah Fears's full game log and splits