Jabari Smith Jr.
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 22.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 16.6–35.3 pts+reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 22.5
- Average
- 27.6
- +5.1 vs line
- Median
- 27
- +4.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −111
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8501 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2154 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1114 books | −1213 books | 7/10 | |
| −1062 books | −1222 books | 7/10 | |
| +1354 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3404 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +8101 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 22.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 22.5 | Under 22.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet19 hr ago | −110Best | — |
| betPARX19 hr ago | −110Best | −121 |
| BetRivers19 hr ago | −112 | −122 |
| DraftKings19 hr ago | −121 | −109Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
22.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.