Jabari Smith Jr.
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 16.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 11.6–27.4 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 20.8
- +4.3 vs line
- Median
- 20
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −142
Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8701 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1654 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1035 books | −1113 books | 7/10 | |
| +1904 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +4841 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +13001 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +26001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet24 hr ago | −103Best | — |
| betPARX24 hr ago | −103Best | −134 |
| BetRivers24 hr ago | −103Best | — |
| DraftKings24 hr ago | −118 | −111 |
| FanDuel24 hr ago | −122 | −108Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.