Jabari Smith Jr.
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At +107 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1135 books | −1203 books | 8/10 | |
| +2604 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +6505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +21001 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings14 hr ago | +107Best | −141 |
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | −113 | — |
| betPARX14 hr ago | −113 | −118Best |
| BetRivers14 hr ago | −114 | −120 |
| FanDuel14 hr ago | −132 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.