Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · G · #5

MIN @ HOU · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1382 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at GS, 2025-04-28: 0, missed, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-04-30: 0, missed, 33 min
at GS, 2025-05-02: 0, missed, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-05-04: 2, cleared, 44 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 29 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 29 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 1 of 1 (6 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 4.0 steals a game to guards: 16th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2024–25: 35.7 (67 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

VanVleet didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; steals the last time VanVleet faced them: 0 (Dec 27, 2024)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +138
Books’ fair: 39%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.7; 10 games · 35.7 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 39%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3412 books	—	6/10
+1382 books	−1841 book	4/10
+4462 books	—	2/10
+12401 book	—	0/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet18 hr ago	+160Best	—
DraftKings18 hr ago	+138	−184Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

+155 → +138 since first seen

Fred VanVleet's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:43 PM ET.