Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · G · #5

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1046 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 2 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 7.0 threes made a game to guards: 21st most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2024–25: 35.7 (67 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at GS, 2025-04-28: 8, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-04-30: 4, cleared, 33 min
at GS, 2025-05-02: 6, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-05-04: 3, cleared, 44 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 29 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 29 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

VanVleet didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time VanVleet faced them: 5 (Dec 27, 2024)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.5; +1 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.7; 10 games · 35.7 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−22002 books	—	9/10
−2955 books	—	9/10
−1046 books	−1355 books	7/10
+2255 books	—	4/10
+4755 books	—	2/10
+11402 books	—	2/10
+21002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+103Best	−135
FanDuel4 min ago	+102	−136
Pinnacle5 min ago	+102	−136
Bally Bet5 min ago	−104	—
betPARX7 min ago	−104	−129Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−105	−130
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +104 → −104 since first seen

Fred VanVleet's full game log and splits