Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · G · #5

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under12.5

Over 12.5 Points, typical price −1053 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 12.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 2 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 56.0 points a game to guards: 15th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2024–25: 35.7 (67 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

70%7 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at GS, 2025-04-28: 25, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-04-30: 26, cleared, 33 min
at GS, 2025-05-02: 29, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-05-04: 17, cleared, 44 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 6, missed, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 14, cleared, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 5, missed, 29 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 24, cleared, 29 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 16, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 8, missed, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 12.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 12.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

VanVleet didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; points the last time VanVleet faced them: 18 (Dec 27, 2024)

Over 12.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 12.5

Average: 17; +4.5 vs line
Median: 16.5; +4 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.7; 10 games · 35.7 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4761 book	—	8/10
−2255 books	—	7/10
−1304 books	−1052 books	7/10
−1053 books	−1263 books	7/10
+1253 books	—	7/10
+1502 books	—	6/10
+2003 books	—	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
FanDueljust now	−102Best	−128
Pinnacle4 min ago	−105	−126
DraftKings4 min ago	−110	−116Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

11.5 → 12.5 since first seen

Fred VanVleet's full game log and splits