Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · G · #5

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Assists, typical price −1066 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 5.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 0 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 15.6 assists a game to guards: 16th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2024–25: 35.7 (67 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

50%5 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at GS, 2025-04-28: 6, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-04-30: 2, missed, 33 min
at GS, 2025-05-02: 8, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-05-04: 3, missed, 44 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 11, cleared, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 5, missed, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 5, missed, 29 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 29 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 6, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

VanVleet didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; assists the last time VanVleet faced them: 7 (Dec 27, 2024)

Over 5.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 6; +0.5 vs line
Median: 5.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.7; 10 games · 35.7 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−13601 book	—	9/10
−4355 books	—	8/10
−2004 books	—	8/10
−1066 books	−1255 books	5/10
+1754 books	—	3/10
+2955 books	—	3/10
+5004 books	—	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−105Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−105Best	−127
BetRivers5 min ago	−106	−129
FanDuel3 min ago	−106	−125
Pinnacle3 min ago	−106	−125
DraftKings9 min ago	−112	−118Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Over No move since first seen

Fred VanVleet's full game log and splits