Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · G · #5

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price +1056 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
MIN allow 19.8 rebounds a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 3.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 1 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2024–25: 35.7 (67 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at GS, 2025-04-28: 2, missed, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-04-30: 1, missed, 33 min
at GS, 2025-05-02: 8, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-05-04: 7, cleared, 44 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 29 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 29 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 5, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

VanVleet didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; rebounds the last time VanVleet faced them: 6 (Dec 27, 2024)

Over 3.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4; +0.5 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.7; 10 games · 35.7 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6703 books	—	9/10
−2272 books	+1651 book	6/10
+1056 books	−1395 books	5/10
+2152 books	−2951 book	4/10
+4005 books	—	3/10
+7002 books	—	2/10
+16002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+116Best	−154
Bally Bet4 min ago	+105	—
betPARX6 min ago	+105	−139
Bovada4 min ago	+105	−135Best
DraftKings4 min ago	+105	−138
BetRivers6 min ago	+104	−141
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:49 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over +112 → +105 since first seen

Fred VanVleet's full game log and splits