Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets · G · #5

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1345 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 8.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: 1 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2024–25: 35.7 (67 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game lines
HOU −8.5 · total 220.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (8 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at GS, 2025-04-28: 8, missed, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-04-30: 3, missed, 33 min
at GS, 2025-05-02: 16, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2025-05-04: 10, cleared, 44 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 13, cleared, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 32 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 9, cleared, 29 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 11, cleared, 29 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 11, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

VanVleet didn't play the Apr 10 meeting; reb+ast the last time VanVleet faced them: 13 (Dec 27, 2024)

Over 8.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 10; +1.5 vs line
Median: 10.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.7; 10 games · 35.7 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 54%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18001 book	—	9/10
−2301 book	—	9/10
−1345 books	+1003 books	7/10
+1184 books	—	6/10
+2701 book	—	2/10
+9501 book	—	1/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−132Best	+100
Bally Bet5 min ago	−134	—
betPARX5 min ago	−134	+100
BetRivers6 min ago	−134	—
DraftKings5 min ago	−140	+106Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over: −132 → −134 since first seen

Fred VanVleet's full game log and splits