Draymond Green

Golden State Warriors · F · #23

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1106 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%10 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 11.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 10 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-03-16: 15, cleared, 29 min
at BOS, 2026-03-18: 10, missed, 32 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 11, missed, 22 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 10, missed, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 13, cleared, 38 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 8, missed, 34 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 14, cleared, 32 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 12, cleared, 30 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 3, missed, 21 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 18, cleared, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 18, cleared, 34 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 13, cleared, 27 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 11, missed, 22 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 10, missed, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 12, cleared, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 11, missed, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 11, missed, 27 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 15, cleared, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 13, cleared, 32 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 17 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 16 of 40; with him: 18 of 39 (79 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 11.5 without him: 9 of 17; with him: 6 of 13 (30 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 13 of 25; with him: 21 of 54 (79 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 27.5 (68 games)

Splits

Over 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 11.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Green didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; reb+ast the last time Green faced them: 8 (Mar 25, 2025)

Over 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 11.5

Average: 11.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 11.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 10 of 20
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.3; 20 games · 27.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6501 book	—	18/20
−2405 books	+1901 book	17/20
−1651 book	+1251 book	14/20
−1106 books	−1224 books	10/20
+2505 books	—	4/20
+8501 book	—	2/20
+15002 books	—	0/20

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+100Best	−132
DraftKings2 min ago	−108	−121
Bally Bet1 min ago	−110	—
betPARX1 min ago	−110	−122
BetRivers1 min ago	−110	—
Bovada1 min ago	−110	−120Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−112 → −110 since first seen

Draymond Green's full game log and splits