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Draymond Green

Golden State Warriors · F · #23

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM
OverUnder11.5
Over 11.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1323 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 11.5

50%10 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 11.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 10 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

  1. at WSH, 2026-03-16: 12, cleared, 29 min
  2. at BOS, 2026-03-18: 18, cleared, 32 min
  3. at DET, 2026-03-20: 6, missed, 22 min
  4. at ATL, 2026-03-21: 17, cleared, 26 min
  5. at DAL, 2026-03-23: 17, cleared, 38 min
  6. vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 10, missed, 34 min
  7. vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 16, cleared, 32 min
  8. at DEN, 2026-03-29: 21, cleared, 30 min
  9. vs SA, 2026-04-01: 15, cleared, 21 min
  10. vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 17, cleared, 35 min
  11. vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 19, cleared, 34 min
  12. vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 8, missed, 27 min
  13. vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 8, missed, 22 min
  14. at SAC, 2026-04-10: 13, cleared, 24 min
  15. at LAL, 2026-10-21: 10, missed, 21 min
  16. vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 11, missed, 31 min
  17. at DEN, 2026-10-26: 10, missed, 27 min
  18. at MIN, 2026-10-28: 9, missed, 32 min
  19. vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 11, missed, 32 min
  20. vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 17 min
ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayTeammate out

    Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)

    Over 11.5 without him: 21 of 40; with him: 22 of 39 (79 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)

    Over 11.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 10 of 13 (30 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Moses Moody: Out (knee)

    Over 11.5 without him: 15 of 25; with him: 28 of 54 (79 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 27.5 (68 games)

Splits

Over 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 11.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L20

  • Stephen CurryG

  • Yaxel LendeborgF

  • Jimmy Butler IIIFOut

  • Kristaps PorzingisCOut

  • Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Green didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; pts+ast the last time Green faced them: 5 (Mar 25, 2025)

Over 11.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 11.5

Average
12.7
+1.2 vs line
Median
11.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
10 of 20
Price implies
57%
at −132
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Minutes
28.3
20 games · 27.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−2785 books—15/20
−1701 book+1301 book12/20
−1323 books+1003 books10/20
−1064 books−1352 books9/20
+1655 books—8/20
+7402 books—1/20
+23001 book—0/20
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 11.5Under 11.5
Bovada9 min ago−125Best−105
FanDuel3 min ago−132+100
DraftKings4 min ago−133+101Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:36 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

12.5 → 11.5 since first seen

Draymond Green's full game log and splits