Draymond Green
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 10.5
55%11 of 20L20 · Without Butler
Over 10.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 11 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 23 of 40; with him: 34 of 39 (79 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 10.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 10 of 13 (30 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 15 of 25; with him: 42 of 54 (79 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 27.5 (68 games)
Splits
Over 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA in his last 20; Over 10.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 10.5 · L20Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
Green didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; pts+reb the last time Green faced them: 7 (Mar 25, 2025)
Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against MIA on record
L20 · Without Butler · Over 10.5
- Average
- 11.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 11.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 55%
- 11 of 20
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 28.3
- 20 games · 27.5 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Butler| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −19601 book | — | 20/20 | |
| −1865 books | +1351 book | 13/20 | |
| −1303 books | −1023 books | 11/20 | |
| +1024 books | −1372 books | 10/20 | |
| +2355 books | — | 6/20 | |
| +9202 books | — | 0/20 | |
| +24001 book | — | 0/20 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −115Best | −111 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −130 | +100Best |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −130 | −102 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.5−114 → −130 since first seen


