Draymond Green

Golden State Warriors · F · #23

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Points, typical price −1276 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%10 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 5.5 Points cleared in 10 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-03-16: 5, missed, 29 min
at BOS, 2026-03-18: 13, cleared, 32 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 0, missed, 22 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 13, cleared, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 11, cleared, 38 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 7, cleared, 34 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 6, cleared, 32 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 13, cleared, 30 min
vs SA, 2026-04-01: 14, cleared, 21 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 8, cleared, 35 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 7, cleared, 34 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 1, missed, 27 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 22 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 7, cleared, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 5, missed, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 27 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 32 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 32 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 17 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 23 of 40; with him: 32 of 39 (79 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 5.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 10 of 13 (30 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 15 of 25; with him: 40 of 54 (79 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 41.9 points a game to forwards: 17th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 5.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 5.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Green didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; points the last time Green faced them: 2 (Mar 25, 2025)

Over 5.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 5.5

Average: 6.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 5.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 10 of 20
Price implies: 56%; at −127
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.3; 20 games · 27.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2953 books	—	13/20
−1761 book	—	12/20
−1276 books	−1095 books	10/20
+1604 books	—	6/20
+3105 books	—	5/20
+5404 books	—	4/20
+17002 books	—	0/20

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−111Best	−119
FanDuel3 min ago	−112	−118
DraftKings4 min ago	−117	−109
Bally Bet4 min ago	−127	—
betPARX4 min ago	−127	−107Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−127	−107Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:36 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Over: −114 → −127 since first seen

Draymond Green's full game log and splits