Desmond Bane

Orlando Magic · G · #3

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1373 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 3 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 3, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 2, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 5, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 1, missed, 30 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 2, cleared, 17 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 2, cleared, 18 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 2, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 3, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 38 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 1, missed, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 3, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 2, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 3, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 35 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 34 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 39 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 40 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 steals+blocks.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Paolo Banchero playing; Banchero is out today. Without him: Over 1.5 in 7 of 15.

TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 7 of 15; with him: 39 of 81 (96 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 15 of 29; with him: 31 of 67 (96 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (89 games)
Rest
2 days off since Nov 2 vs WSH

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 5 of 9 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Steals+Blocks: 2 in 37 min, Mar 31 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Over 1.5

Average: 2; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −137 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6253 books	—	5/5
−1373 books	+1021 book	3/5
+2103 books	—	2/5
+5003 books	—	0/5

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−137Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−137Best	+102Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−137Best	—

Prices as of 12:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Desmond Bane's full game log and splits