Desmond Bane

Orlando Magic · G · #3

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1065 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%2 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast hit in 2 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 12, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 10, missed, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 4, hit, 32 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 10, missed, 30 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 5, hit, 17 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 3, hit, 18 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 11, missed, 35 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 6, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 7, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 6, hit, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 6, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 4, hit, 38 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 6, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 7, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 2, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 8, missed, 35 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 9, missed, 34 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 8, missed, 39 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 3, hit, 40 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 6, hit, 36 min

Under hitMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.6–10.2 reb+ast.

What's different today

Under 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Paolo Banchero playing; Banchero is out today. Without him: Under 7.5 in 3 of 15.

TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Under 7.5 without him: 3 of 15; with him: 44 of 81 (96 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Under 7.5 without him: 11 of 29; with him: 36 of 67 (96 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (89 games)
Rest
2 days off since Nov 2 vs WSH

Splits

Under 7.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Under 7.5 hit in 1 of 9 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 7.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Reb+Ast: 11 in 37 min, Mar 31 (home)

Under 7.5 hit in 1 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Under 7.5

Average: 6.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 8; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 2 of 5
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −138

Research, not a pick. At −101 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−8354 books	—	1/5
−1205 books	−1063 books	2/5
+2204 books	—	5/5
+5501 book	—	5/5
+17001 book	—	5/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−131	−101Best
FanDuel2 min ago	−125	−106
betPARX2 min ago	−120Best	−113
Bally Bet4 min ago	−120Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−120Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Under: −128 → −106 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Desmond Bane's full game log and splits