Desmond Bane

Orlando Magic · G · #3

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under20.5

Under 20.5 Points, typical price −1276 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Under 20.5 Points hit in 3 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 27, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 27, missed, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 25, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 18, hit, 30 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 2, hit, 17 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 8, hit, 18 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 17, hit, 35 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 12, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 25, missed, 38 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 22, missed, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 18, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 17, hit, 38 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 16, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 18, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 5, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 22, missed, 35 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 13, hit, 34 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 28, missed, 39 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 19, hit, 40 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 20, hit, 36 min

Under hitMissedThe 20.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 9–26.7 points.

What's different today

Under 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Paolo Banchero playing; Banchero is out today. Without him: Under 20.5 in 8 of 15.

TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Under 20.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 44 of 81 (96 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
PHX allow 70.2 points a game to guards: the most of 30
6 games
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Under 20.5 without him: 16 of 29; with him: 36 of 67 (96 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (89 games)

Splits

Under 20.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Under 20.5 hit in 3 of 9 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 20.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Points: 21 in 37 min, Mar 31 (home)

Under 20.5 hit in 3 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Under 20.5

Average: 20.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 20; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 56%; at −127
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −149, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3353 books	—	1/5
−2004 books	—	1/5
−1305 books	—	2/5
−1076 books	−1275 books	3/5
+1153 books	—	3/5
+1653 books	—	4/5
+2072 books	—	4/5

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 20.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 20.5	Under 20.5
DraftKings11 min ago	−106	−120Best
betPARX2 min ago	−107	−124
BetRivers1 min ago	−108	−127
Pinnacle11 min ago	−104	−128
FanDuel1 min ago	+100Best	−132
Bally Bet10 min ago	−107	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

−128 → −127 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Desmond Bane's full game log and splits