De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · #8

MIA @ GS · Thu, Nov 5 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%16 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 16 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 1, cleared, 23 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 0, missed, 23 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 1, cleared, 22 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 3, cleared, 23 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 4, cleared, 28 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 2, cleared, 25 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 3, cleared, 26 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 1, cleared, 29 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 2, cleared, 15 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 1, cleared, 28 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 19 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 20 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 27 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 19 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 21 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 34 of 41; with him: 14 of 16 (57 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 3.1 steals a game to guards: 28th most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 0.5 without him: 15 of 19; with him: 9 of 12 (31 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 19 of 23; with him: 29 of 34 (57 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Melton didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; steals the last time Melton faced them: 4 (Dec 25, 2023)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 0.5

Average: 1.5; +1 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 16 of 20
Price implies: 71%; at −250
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 23.4; 20 games · 23 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2503 books	pick'em only	16/20
+1653 books	−2351 book	9/20
+4753 books	—	4/20

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet9 hr ago	−250Best	—
betPARX9 hr ago	−250Best	—
BetRivers9 hr ago	−250Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

De'Anthony Melton's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:09 PM ET.