De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · #8

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under10.5

Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1107 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%8 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 8 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 5, missed, 23 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 14, cleared, 23 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 20, cleared, 22 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 0, missed, 23 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 14, cleared, 28 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 25 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 5, missed, 26 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 6, missed, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 21, cleared, 29 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 15 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 17, cleared, 28 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 4, missed, 19 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 10, missed, 20 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 25, cleared, 27 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 19 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 8, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 16, cleared, 21 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 23 of 41; with him: 6 of 16 (57 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 69.0 points a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 10.5 without him: 10 of 19; with him: 6 of 12 (31 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 12 of 23; with him: 17 of 34 (57 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 10.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Melton didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; points the last time Melton faced them: 15 (Dec 25, 2023)

Over 10.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 10.5

Average: 9.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 7; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 8 of 20
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 23.4; 20 games · 23 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2655 books	—	10/20
−2102 books	+1551 book	9/20
−1486 books	+1151 book	9/20
−1107 books	−1216 books	8/20
+1156 books	−1601 book	8/20
+1602 books	−2151 book	8/20
+1855 books	−2901 book	8/20

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−102Best	−125
Pinnacle3 min ago	−104	−128
DraftKings3 min ago	−106	−120Best
Bovada3 min ago	−110	−120Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−112	—
betPARX1 min ago	−112	−121
BetRivers1 min ago	−112	−121
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

−104 → −110 since first seen

De'Anthony Melton's full game log and splits