De'Aaron Fox
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 3.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1.2–7.8 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −154
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −142 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14305 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −3756 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1547 books | +1146 books | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +1326 books | −1801 book | 3/10 | |
| +2455 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4356 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel20 hr ago | −142Best | +112 |
| Pinnacle20 hr ago | −148 | +112 |
| Bovada20 hr ago | −150 | +115 |
| DraftKings21 hr ago | −154 | +116Best |
| betPARX20 hr ago | −155 | +115 |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | −157 | — |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | −157 | +114 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.