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De'Aaron Fox
UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 9.5 Reb+Ast
Typical price −1386 sportsbooksbest −132
Game log
Over 9.5Over 9.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.9–14.7 reb+ast.
Home and away
L10 · Over 9.5Hometonight
67%
4 of 6
Away
75%
3 of 4
L10 · Over 9.5 Reb+Ast
- Average
- 10.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 11.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- −138, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −149
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −149, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 hr ago | −132Best | +104 |
| Bovada1 hr ago | −135 | +105Best |
| DraftKings1 hr ago | −136 | +103 |
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | −141 | — |
| betPARX1 hr ago | −141 | — |
| BetRivers1 hr ago | −141 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −35001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −3801 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −2201 book | +1651 book | 7/10 | |
| −1386 books | +1043 books | 7/10 | |
| +1104 books | −1492 books | 6/10 | |
| +1751 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +16001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%