De'Aaron Fox
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 5.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–10 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 7
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −141
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −33356 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −6255 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2786 books | +2051 book | 9/10 | |
| −1417 books | +1056 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1316 books | −1801 book | 6/10 | |
| +2255 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada21 hr ago | −135Best | +105 |
| betPARX21 hr ago | −139 | +105 |
| DraftKings21 hr ago | −139 | +105 |
| Bally Bet21 hr ago | −141 | — |
| BetRivers21 hr ago | −141 | +104 |
| FanDuel21 hr ago | −146 | +114 |
| Pinnacle21 hr ago | −154 | +116Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.