Davion Mitchell
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 7.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
What's different today
Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Defense vs guards
GS allow 16.4 assists a game to guards: 9th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.8 min · 2026–27: 34.6 (8 games)
Game lines
MIA +3.5 · total 236.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against GS in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 7.5 · L10Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Bam AdebayoC
Pelle LarssonG
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs GS
Assists: 3 in 25 min, Jan 19 (away)
Over 7.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against GS on record
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 7.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 10
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 34
- 10 games · 28.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7156 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −3605 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1787 books | +1082 books | 7/10 | |
| −1076 books | −1385 books | 6/10 | |
| +1606 books | −2601 book | 6/10 | |
| +2556 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +4105 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | +110Best | −145 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | +108 | −142 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +108 | −138 |
| betPARXjust now | −107 | −125Best |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −108 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −108 | −127 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:42 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.5Over: −114 → −107 since first seen


