Davion Mitchell

Miami Heat · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 37 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 1, missed, 26 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 33 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 33 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 35 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 4, cleared, 43 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
GS allow 6.3 steals a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
8 games
TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Minutes
Last 5: 34.8 min · 2026–27: 34.6 (8 games)
Game lines
MIA +5.5 · total 232.5 (4 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Bam AdebayoC
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

Steals: 3 in 25 min, Jan 19 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against GS on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 38%; at +160
Books’ fair: 36%; margin removed
Minutes: 34; 10 games · 28.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 36%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2783 books	—	6/10
+1603 books	−2251 book	3/10
+4803 books	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	+160Best	—
betPARXjust now	+160Best	−225Best
BetRivers2 min ago	+160Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:48 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Davion Mitchell's full game log and splits