Darius Acuff Jr.

Sacramento Kings · G · #5

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price +1003 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

43%3 of 7L7 · Without Raynaud

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 7 games).

at LAC, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 35 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 37 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 33 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 6, cleared, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 5, cleared, 37 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 37 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–7.7 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 3.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 0 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Over 3.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 2 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 17.3 rebounds a game to guards: 5th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 3.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L7

Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Jr. didn't play the Mar 1 meeting

L7 · Without Raynaud · Over 3.5

Average: 3.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 3 of 7
Price implies: 50%; at +100
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Our chance: 52%; estimate · fair −107

Research, not a pick. At +106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −107, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L7 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−9101 book	—	7/7
−2502 books	—	6/7
+1003 books	−1402 books	3/7
+1902 books	—	3/7
+3602 books	—	1/7
+6502 books	—	0/7
+14601 book	—	0/7

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Pinnacle13 hr ago	+106Best	−140
DraftKings13 hr ago	+100	−132Best
Bally Bet13 hr ago	−108	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −152 → +100 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Darius Acuff Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.