Darius Acuff Jr.

Sacramento Kings · G · #5

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under5.5

Under 5.5 Assists, typical price +1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L7 · Without Raynaud

Under 5.5 Assists hit in 4 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 7 games).

at LAC, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 35 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 4, hit, 37 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 7, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 5, hit, 33 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 13, missed, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 5, hit, 37 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 37 min

Under hitMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 5.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 5.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 2 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Under 5.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 4 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 16.9 assists a game to guards: 6th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Under 5.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 5.5 · L7

Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Jr. didn't play the Mar 1 meeting

L7 · Without Raynaud · Under 5.5

Average: 6.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 5; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 46%; at +118
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair −102

Research, not a pick. At +118 the price beats our fair −102, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L7 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−50002 books	—	0/7
−8352 books	—	1/7
−3152 books	—	2/7
−1553 books	+1181 book	4/7
+1142 books	−1511 book	5/7
+1962 books	—	6/7
+3302 books	—	6/7

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Pinnacle21 hr ago	−158	+118Best
Bally Bet21 hr ago	−155Best	—
DraftKings21 hr ago	−155Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Under: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Darius Acuff Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.