Darius Acuff Jr.

Sacramento Kings · G · #5

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under23.5

Under 23.5 Points, typical price −1173 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

43%3 of 7L7 · Without Raynaud

Under 23.5 Points hit in 3 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 7 games).

at LAC, 2026-10-21: 12, hit, 35 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 33, missed, 37 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 22, hit, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 19, hit, 33 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 34, missed, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 38, missed, 37 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 25, missed, 37 min

Under hitMissedThe 23.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 9.3–33.2 points.

What's different yesterday

Under 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 23.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 23.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 1 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Under 23.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 62.5 points a game to guards: 5th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Under 23.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 23.5 · L7

Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Jr. didn't play the Mar 1 meeting

L7 · Without Raynaud · Under 23.5

Average: 26.1; +2.6 vs line
Median: 25; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 3 of 7
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −103

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −103, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L7 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−4202 books	—	1/7
−2652 books	—	2/7
−1751 book	—	2/7
−1173 books	−1172 books	3/7
−1011 book	—	3/7
+1251 book	—	4/7
+1801 book	—	4/7

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 23.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 23.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 23.5	Under 23.5
DraftKings11 hr ago	−122	−105Best
Pinnacle11 hr ago	−113Best	−117
Bally Bet11 hr ago	−117	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

23.5

Under: −104 → −117 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Darius Acuff Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.