Darius Acuff Jr.
LAL @ SAC · LiveGame log against Over 9.5
57%4 of 7L7 · Without Raynaud
Over 9.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 7 games).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 3–15.2 reb+ast.
What's different yesterday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 9.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 9.5 without him: 4 of 5; with him: 0 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Over 9.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2026–27: 36.6 (7 games)
Splits
Over 9.5 · L7 · counts, not in orderNo game against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 9.5 · L7Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Jr. didn't play the Mar 1 meeting
L7 · Without Raynaud · Over 9.5
- Average
- 10
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 10
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 57%
- 4 of 7
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −105
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L7 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −25001 book | — | 7/7 | |
| −2951 book | — | 5/7 | |
| −1212 books | −1141 book | 4/7 | |
| +1901 book | — | 1/7 | |
| +6002 books | — | 1/7 | |
| +17001 book | — | 1/7 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings9 hr ago | −115Best | −114Best |
| Bally Bet9 hr ago | −121 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.510.5 → 9.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.


