Darius Acuff Jr.

Sacramento Kings · G · #5

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under27.5

Under 27.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

43%3 of 7L7 · Without Raynaud

Under 27.5 Pts+Reb hit in 3 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 7 games).

at LAC, 2026-10-21: 15, hit, 35 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 35, missed, 37 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 25, hit, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 22, hit, 33 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 40, missed, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 43, missed, 37 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 30, missed, 37 min

Under hitMissedThe 27.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 11.9–37.7 pts+reb.

What's different yesterday

Under 27.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 27.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 27.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 1 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Under 27.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2026–27: 36.6 (7 games)

Splits

Under 27.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 27.5 · L7

Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Jr. didn't play the Mar 1 meeting

L7 · Without Raynaud · Under 27.5

Average: 30; +2.5 vs line
Median: 30; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 3 of 7
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 52%; estimate · fair −107

Research, not a pick. At −115 the price is worse than our fair −107, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L7 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−17601 book	—	0/7
−5602 books	—	1/7
−1902 books	—	2/7
−1142 books	−1151 book	3/7
+1192 books	—	3/7
+2592 books	—	4/7
+5551 book	—	5/7

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 27.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 27.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 27.5	Under 27.5
DraftKings12 hr ago	−114	−115Best
Bally Bet12 hr ago	−112Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

27.5

28.5 → 27.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Darius Acuff Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.