Darius Acuff Jr.
LAL @ SAC · Live
Game log against Under 2.5
57%4 of 7L7 · Without Raynaud
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 7 games).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–4 3-pointers made.
What's different yesterday
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 2.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 2 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Under 2.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 4 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 8.8 threes made a game to guards: 7th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Under 2.5 · L7 · counts, not in orderNo game against LAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L7Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Jr. didn't play the Mar 1 meeting
L7 · Without Raynaud · Under 2.5
- Average
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 57%
- 4 of 7
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −113
Research, not a pick. At +102 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −113, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L7 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −19801 book | — | 1/7 | |
| −3732 books | — | 1/7 | |
| −1203 books | −1102 books | 4/7 | |
| +1712 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +3652 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +7502 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +14401 book | — | 6/7 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings16 hr ago | −134 | +102Best |
| Pinnacle16 hr ago | −120 | −110 |
| Bally Bet16 hr ago | −109Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: −106 → −110 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.