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Damian Lillard

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #0

POR @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1883 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayTeammate out

    Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)

    Under 3.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)

  • TodayDefense vs guards

    PHX allow 11.0 threes made a game to guards: the most of 30

    5 games

  • Teammate out

    Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)

    Under 3.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 2 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 30.2 min · 2024–25: 35.5 (62 games)

Game log against Under 3.5

67%4 of 6L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of 6 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

  1. vs DEN, 2025-02-27: 3, hit, 35 min (not counted)
  2. at DAL, 2025-03-01: 4, missed, 36 min (not counted)
  3. at ATL, 2025-03-04: 2, hit, 36 min (not counted)
  4. vs DAL, 2025-03-05: 5, missed, 27 min (not counted)
  5. vs ORL, 2025-03-08: 4, missed, 36 min (not counted)
  6. vs CLE, 2025-03-09: 1, hit, 35 min (not counted)
  7. at IND, 2025-03-11: 2, hit, 37 min (not counted)
  8. vs LAL, 2025-03-13: 2, hit, 34 min (not counted)
  9. vs IND, 2025-03-15: 6, missed, 37 min (not counted)
  10. vs OKC, 2025-03-16: 2, hit, 29 min (not counted)
  11. at GS, 2025-03-18: 2, hit, 38 min (not counted)
  12. at IND, 2025-04-22: 2, hit, 37 min (not counted)
  13. vs IND, 2025-04-25: 1, hit, 32 min (not counted)
  14. vs IND, 2025-04-27: 0, hit, 6 min (not counted)
  15. vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 6, missed, 24 min
  16. at SAC, 2026-10-23: 2, hit, 33 min
  17. at LAL, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 31 min
  18. vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 30 min
  19. at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 3, hit, 27 min
  20. at DEN, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 30 min
Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L20

  • Deni AvdijaF

  • Shaedon SharpeGOut

  • Jrue HolidayG

  • Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

3-Pointers Made: 6 in 24 min, Oct 21 (home)

Under 3.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 3.5

Average
2.8
−0.7 vs line
Median
2.5
−1 vs line
Hit rate
67%
4 of 6
Price implies
65%
at −188
Books’ fair
61%
margin removed
Our chance
68%
estimate · fair −211

Research, not a pick. At −188 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −211, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−50002 books—0/6
−5901 book—2/6
−1782 bookspick'em only3/6
+1403 books−1882 books4/6
+3301 book—5/6
+6502 books—5/6
+13002 books—6/6
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel2 min ago+140−188Best
Pinnacle2 min ago+140−188Best
DraftKings2 min ago+142Best—

Prices as of 1:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
Damian Lillard's full game log and splits