Christian Braun

Denver Nuggets · G · #0

TOR @ DEN · Live

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1271 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-23: 1, missed, 24 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 3, cleared, 31 min
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 3, cleared, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 33 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 34 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 36 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 37 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 steals+blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)
Over 1.5 without him: no games; with him: 5 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 23; with him: 10 of 33 (56 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 31.7 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanGOut
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Steals+Blocks: 0 in 33 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 2.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −127
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −127 the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−5901 book	10/10
	−1271 book	8/10
	+2301 book	5/10
	+5501 book	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet19 hr ago	−127Best

Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−130 → −127 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Christian Braun's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.