Christian Braun
TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 12.5 without him: 12 of 23; with him: 10 of 33 (56 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
TOR allow 60.7 points a game to guards: 9th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 31.7 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game log against Over 12.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 12.5 Points cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 12.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 12.5 · L10Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Points: 11 in 33 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 12.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 12.5
- Average
- 11.3
- −1.2 vs line
- Median
- 9
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +100
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 33.4
- 10 games · 31.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 47%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4571 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −2802 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1351 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +1003 books | −1323 books | 4/10 | |
| +1632 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3471 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +5602 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −102 | −125Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5No move since first seen


